| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Pittsburgh | 14-59 | 1475.9 | -43.2 | 1432.7 | 9.2% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Holy Cross | 45-7 | 1432.7 | +50.5 | 1483.2 | 69.4% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Cincinnati | 31-35 | 1483.2 | +41.5 | 1524.7 | 12.3% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | UConn | 24-21 | 1524.7 | +31.3 | 1556.0 | 27.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Bowling Green | 20-24 | 1556.0 | -68.0 | 1488.0 | 85.1% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Massachusetts | 20-19 | 1488.0 | -7.3 | 1480.7 | 72.4% |